4
Super Strong Kid
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sha Tin | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 15/03/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 90% | -0.04 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 69% | -0.23 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 54% | -0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |