13
Thousand Spirit
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Sha Tin · Shanghai Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 11/03/2026 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.58 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |