16
Celestial Harmony
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA36
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA37 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA38 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 09/11/2025 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 15/11/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 15% | -0.11 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |