10

Fortune Kingo
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: BHA31
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA31 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA38 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA42 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 01/03/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 29/03/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 17/05/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |