6
General Smart
5yo Gelding · 9-4
Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: BHA29
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA29 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA33 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA34 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA36 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA36 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 12/04/2026 | 13th | 7/2 | 82% | 8% | -0.74 |
| 09/05/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 15% | -0.66 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |