IvyArcIvyArc
13

Happy Buddies

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 9.1)

Highest class: BHA26
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 19/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12219/11C?C0 @ Sha Tin 04/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 121BHA43 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 43 · 6f Gd 118 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 43 par25/0143OR 43C0 @ Happy Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 115BHA38 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 38 · 7f Gd 133 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 38 par29/0338OR 38C0 @ Happy Valley 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 1335 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m GF 1303/065BHA31 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 31 · 1m1f GF 127 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 31 parBHA26 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 26 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 26 par6/0926OR 26projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA268th8th0
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA316th6th0
2026-06-03Happy Valley511th11th0
2026-04-29Happy Valley?7th7th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA3812th12th0
2026-02-25Happy Valley?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1125/023/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20259th18/15%27%+0.22
04/01/202612th40/10%15%+0.15
25/01/202613th80/10%8%+0.08
25/02/20266th66/10%55%+0.55
29/03/202612th50/10%15%+0.15
29/04/20267th50/10%45%+0.45
03/06/202611th18/15%9%+0.04
12/07/20266th40/10%62%+0.62
06/09/20268th33/10%46%+0.46