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7

I Excelle

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: BHA36
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12727/12C?BHA52 @ Sha Tin 18/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 52 · 6f Gd 128 · beat its mark18/01/2026 · OR 52 parBHA50 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 50 · 7f GF 125 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 50 par14/0250OR 50BHA48 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 48 · 7f Gd 123 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 48 parBHA46 @ Sha Tin 26/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 46 · 6f Gd 120 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 46 par26/0446OR 46BHA43 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 43 · 1m Gd 119 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 43 parBHA40 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 40 · 1m1f Slo 130 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 40 par7/0640OR 40BHA40 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m1f Gd 116 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 40 parBHA36 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 36 · 1m Gd 131 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 36 par6/0936OR 36projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA367th7th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA406th6th0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA404th4th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA4310th10th0
2026-04-26Sha TinBHA4613th13th0
2026-04-06Sha TinBHA4811th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/126/047/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20256th14/126%62%+0.35
18/01/20269th20/10%38%+0.38
14/02/202611th28/10%23%+0.23
06/04/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
26/04/202613th100/10%8%+0.08
24/05/202610th50/10%31%+0.31
07/06/20264th20/10%73%+0.73
04/07/20266th25/10%62%+0.62
06/09/20267th14/126%54%+0.28