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14

Manythanks Forever

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA25
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 15/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12615/10C?BHA27 @ Sha Tin 09/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 27 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark09/11/2025 · OR 27 parBHA25 @ Sha Tin 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 25 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 25 par20/1225OR 25BHA32 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 32 · 7f Gd 127 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 32 parBHA32 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 32 · 7f Gd 127 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 32 par29/0332OR 32C0 @ Happy Valley 13/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 1295 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m GF 1273/065C0 @ Sha Tin 01/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 125BHA26 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 26 · 7f GF 121 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 26 par13/0926OR 26projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA2612th12th0
2026-07-01Sha Tin?9th9th0
2026-06-03Happy Valley56th6th0
2026-05-13Happy Valley?6th6th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA327th7th0
2026-02-08Sha TinBHA328th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/108/023/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20259th22/10%27%+0.27
09/11/20259th40/10%38%+0.38
20/12/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
08/02/20268th6/168%46%-0.22
29/03/20267th17/255%54%-0.01
13/05/20266th40/10%55%+0.55
03/06/20266th28/10%55%+0.55
01/07/20269th17/255%38%-0.17
13/09/202612th14/126%15%-0.11