IvyArcIvyArc
8

Multisuperstar

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m

#16

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA36
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 50 · 7f Gd 125 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 50 par1/0350OR 50BHA49 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m Gd 125 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 49 · 1m Gd 128 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 49 par6/0449OR 49BHA47 @ Sha Tin 19/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 47 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 47 parBHA45 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 45 · 7f Yie 124 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 45 par3/0545OR 45BHA43 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 43 · 7f Goo 118 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 43 parBHA41 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 41 · 6f Gd 119 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 41 par7/0641OR 41BHA40 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 40 · 7f Gd 117 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 40 parBHA36 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 36 · 7f GF 131 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 36 par13/0936OR 36projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA365th5th0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA407th7th0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA416th6th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA437th7th0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA459th9th0
2026-04-19Sha TinBHA478th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0319/047/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/202611th125/10%23%+0.23
22/03/20264th80/10%77%+0.77
06/04/202610th20/10%25%+0.25
19/04/20268th11/271%46%-0.25
03/05/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
17/05/20267th66/10%54%+0.54
07/06/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
21/06/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
13/09/20265th14/126%69%+0.43