11
Setanta
10yo Gelding · 9-1
Sha Tin · Shenyang Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA33
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA33 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA39 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 28/01/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/03/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |