4
Colourful King
5yo Gelding · 8-11
Sha Tin · The National Day Cup (Group 3 Handicap) · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C9.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA97 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA100 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 90% | -0.07 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |