3
Chill Partners
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Sha Tin · Chengdu Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 14-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 22/03/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/04/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |