1
Excellence Value
6yo Gelding · 9-9
Sha Tin · Chengdu Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA61 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA66 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 25/01/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/02/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/02/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 11/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/04/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |