15
Positive Smile
6yo Gelding · 9-5
Sha Tin · Chengdu Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA57 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA61 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 25/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 31/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |