7
Solid Car
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Sha Tin · Chengdu Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA51 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 46% | -0.42 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |