4
Charming Babe
6yo Gelding · 9-3
Sha Tin · Hangzhou Handicap · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA55 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 07/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 25/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |
| 13/05/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |