13
Heroic Vanguard
4yo Gelding · 8-5
Sha Tin · Hangzhou Handicap · 5f
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 13-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 08/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |