14
Circuit Century
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Sha Tin · Jinan Handicap · 1m 1f
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 22/06/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |