2
Dragon On Snow
4yo Gelding · 9-7
Sha Tin · Jinan Handicap · 1m 1f
#16
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |