9
Fast Speed
5yo Gelding · 8-8
Sha Tin · Jinan Handicap · 1m 1f
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/04/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 10/05/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/05/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/06/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 10/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |