5
Fluorescence
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Sha Tin · Jinan Handicap · 1m 1f
#14
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 11.1)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA55 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA57 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/03/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/03/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 16/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |