10
Good Good
6yo Gelding · 8-8
Sha Tin · Jinan Handicap · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA51 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA51 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 26/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 23/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.33 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 15/03/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 15% | -0.45 |
| 13/09/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |