4
Romantic Laos
8yo Gelding · 9-0
Sha Tin · Jinan Handicap · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |