4
Joker Orbit
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |