10

Ka Ying Radiance
5yo Gelding · 8-9
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 73% | -0.21 |
| 31/01/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 01/07/2025 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 8% | -0.61 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 69% | -0.26 |