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14

Lakeshore Hero

6yo Gelding · 8-4

Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA38
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12619/02C?BHA48 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 48 · 7f GF 123 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 48 parC0 @ Sha Tin 01/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m Gd 1221/04C?C0 @ Happy Valley 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 119C0 @ Sha Tin 06/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Slo 1176/05C?C0 @ Happy Valley 13/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 1165 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 1353/065BHA38 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 38 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 38 parC0 @ Happy Valley 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1359/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Happy Valley?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA382nd2nd0
2026-06-03Happy Valley57th7th0
2026-05-13Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-05-06Sha Tin?3rd3rd0
2026-04-15Happy Valley?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0215/043/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
15/03/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
01/04/202610th33/10%31%+0.31
15/04/20265th33/10%64%+0.64
06/05/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
13/05/202610th14/126%18%-0.08
03/06/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
27/06/20262nd14/126%92%+0.66
09/09/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05