12
Lucky Gibs
4yo Gelding · 8-6
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 11.4)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/04/2026 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 06/09/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |