11
Riding High
6yo Gelding · 8-9
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA38
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA45 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA44 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA43 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 24/05/2026 | 12th | 11/4 | 86% | 15% | -0.70 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |