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5

Rising From Ashes

9yo Gelding · 9-2

Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 22/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m Gd 12722/10C?C0 @ Happy Valley 03/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f 123BHA64 @ Sha Tin 14/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f Gd 119 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 64 par14/1264OR 64C0 @ Happy Valley 14/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 115BHA60 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 60 · 6f GF 119 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 60 par14/0260OR 60BHA60 @ Sha Tin 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 60 · 6f Goo 115 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 60 par7/0660OR 60BHA58 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f Gd 134 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 58 parBHA54 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 54 · 6f GF 129 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 54 par6/0954OR 54projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA549th9th0
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA588th8th0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA608th8th0
2026-05-09Sha TinBHA605th5th0
2026-02-14Sha TinBHA6011th11th0
2026-01-14Happy Valley?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1014/017/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20259th28/10%20%+0.20
03/12/202511th18/15%9%+0.04
14/12/20259th40/10%38%+0.38
14/01/202612th33/10%0%0.00
14/02/202611th28/10%0%0.00
09/05/20265th80/10%64%+0.64
07/06/20268th16/116%46%+0.30
04/07/20268th25/10%46%+0.46
06/09/20269th18/15%38%+0.33