6
Spirited Steed
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 85% | -0.04 |