13
Victory Champion
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA43 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 19/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 23/11/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 23% | -0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.30 |