10
Lucky Bid
4yo Gelding · 8-9
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.7)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 09/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/07/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |