16
Smiling Champion
4yo Gelding · 8-5
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 10.4)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/06/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |