12
Tycoon Express
4yo Gelding · 8-7
Sha Tin · Chongqing Handicap · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -21.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |
| 26/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |