6
Beauty Bolt
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA87 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA88 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA82 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA82 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |