3
Chill Easy
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA78 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 25/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 92% | -0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |