11
Drombeg Banner
7yo Gelding · 8-9
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA83 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA87 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA89 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA91 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | BHA90 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 14/12/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 11/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 8% | -0.48 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |