7
Emblazon
5yo Gelding · 8-12
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA88 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA80 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA80 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 20/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/03/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |