12

Public Attention
5yo Gelding · 8-8
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA80 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA82 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 08/03/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |