10
Regal Gem
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA73 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/12/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 55% | -0.35 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 22/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |