5
Victory Sky
6yo Gelding · 8-13
Sha Tin · Beijing Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 64% | -0.30 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |