7
Helios Allen
9yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 74
Southwell · Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 88y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Worcester | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Market Rasen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-07-18 | Worcester | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-06-19 | Worcester | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-06-01 | Worcester | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2022 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/11/2022 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 24/11/2022 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 01/06/2024 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/06/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/07/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 01/09/2024 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |