4

My Bobby's Lass

7yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 89

Southwell · Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 88y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled her hurdles tally in 2½m handicap at Worcester in May 2025. Never looked like following up there a month later and understandably shaped as if in need of the run sent chasing after 15 months off (very easy to back) at Bangor recently. This will reveal more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 28/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f123y Gd 156 · HIGHER CLASS28/0644 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 149 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Stratford 07/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS7/0945 @ Hereford 14/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 2m3f147y Goo 149 · beat its mark14/10/2024 · OR 81 par4 @ Warwick 14/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 90 · 2m3f Gd 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2025 · OR 90 par14/044OR 905 @ Stratford 08/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 90 · 2m2f148y Goo 154 · below its mark08/05/2025 · OR 90 par5 @ Worcester 23/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 88 · 2m4f Gd 159 · beat its mark23/05/2025 · OR 88 par23/055OR 885 @ Worcester 25/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 94 · 2m4f Goo 157 · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 94 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 93 · 2m4f72y Goo 167 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 93 par4/095OR 93projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Bangor-on-Dee56th6th0
2025-06-25Worcester56th6th0
2025-05-23Worcester51st1st0
2025-05-08Stratford54th4th0
2025-04-14Warwick43rd2nd+1
2024-10-14Hereford51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0614/1023/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20246th28/10%50%+0.50
26/07/20247th66/10%50%+0.50
07/09/20244th33/10%25%+0.25
14/10/20241st6/168%100%+0.32
14/04/20253rd14/126%50%+0.24
08/05/20254th8/158%25%-0.33
23/05/20251st28/10%100%+1.00
25/06/20256th10/382%62%-0.21
04/09/20266th40/10%17%+0.17