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8

Noble Recall

7yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 74

Southwell · Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 88y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally back over hurdles in 10-runner handicap at Worcester (2½m, good to soft) 21 days ago, well ridden. Pulled up over fences there on penultimate outing but had shown some aptitude for the job 8 months earlier.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 01/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f88y Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASS1/0335 @ Southwell 27/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 55 · 2m4f88y Gd 142 · beat its mark27/03/2025 · OR 55 par5 @ Worcester 13/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 65 · 2m4f Gd 142 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 65 par13/055OR 655 @ Southwell 20/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 2m4f88y Gd 145 · beat its mark20/05/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Worcester 02/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 73 · 2m4f Goo 148 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 73 par2/075OR 735 @ Worcester 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 73 · 2m4f Goo 143 · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Worcester 31/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 74 · 2m7f Gd 147 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 74 par31/085OR 745 @ Worcester 26/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 74 · 2m4f Gd 146 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 74 par5 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 72 · 2m4f Gd 143 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 72 par10/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester51st1st0
2026-06-06Worcester50
2025-09-26Worcester54th4th0
2025-08-31Worcester55th5th0
2025-07-17Worcester52nd2nd0
2025-07-02Worcester52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0320/0531/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength84%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20259th400/10%27%+0.27
27/03/20255th80/10%33%+0.33
13/05/20254th28/10%63%+0.63
20/05/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
02/07/20252nd8/158%86%+0.28
17/07/20252nd85/4089%86%-0.03
31/08/20255th7/282%60%-0.22
26/09/20254th8/158%67%+0.09
10/09/20261st8/158%100%+0.42