9
Rockvale
7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 72
Southwell · Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 88y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Stratford | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-16 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2024 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/10/2024 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/12/2024 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |