3
Alright Dai
8yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 105
Southwell · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 60y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Fontwell | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sedgefield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Fontwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Taunton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Wincanton | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2025-08-31 | Worcester | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2024 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 26/12/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/01/2025 | 1st | 11/5 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/04/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 45% | -0.43 |
| 31/08/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |