4
No More No
7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 101
Southwell · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 60y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-12 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-10-17 | Wincanton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2024-10-03 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-07-14 | Stratford | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2024 | 5th | 300/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/05/2024 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/06/2024 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 11% | -0.70 |
| 14/07/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 03/10/2024 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 17/10/2024 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 12/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |