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Back It Up

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Southwell · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 88y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Multiple point winner who shaped like a stayer when fourth on his belated Rules/hurdles debut at Kempton (21f) in November and similar story when plugging on for fifth on last month's reappearance at Uttoxeter (2½m, good). Handicaps over further promise to be more his bag.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 10/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m5f Gd 15410/1144 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f207y Goo 15915/094projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter45th5th0
2025-11-10Kempton44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1115/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +20.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20254th9/153%40%-0.13
15/09/20265th11/142%50%+0.08