IvyArcIvyArc
2

Gaelic Rambler

6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 116

Southwell · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 88y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

90%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 6-y-o who quickly bounced back to form in first-time blinkers (retained) when running out a clear-cut winner of an 8-runner handicap chase at Uttoxeter (2½m, good). Yard firmly amongst the winners in recent weeks and of interest on just third start in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 16/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 2m7f131y Goo 16016/0344 @ Chepstow 21/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m7f131y Goo 1624 @ Southwell 18/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 115 · 2m4f88y Sft 163 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 115 par18/024OR 1154 @ Stratford 09/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 113 · 2m213y Sft 161 · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 113 par4 @ Wetherby 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 114 · 1m7f36y Gd 165 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 114 par27/034OR 1144 @ Ffos Las 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 115 · 2m3f83y Goo 163 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 115 par4 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 115 · 2m4f Gd 168 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 115 par7/074OR 1154 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 113 · 2m7f Gd 168 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 113 par4 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 110 · 2m4f Gd 168 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 110 par15/094OR 110projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter41st1st0
2026-08-23Worcester46th6th0
2026-07-07Uttoxeter43rd3rd0
2026-04-21Ffos Las45th5th0
2026-03-27Wetherby42nd2nd0
2026-03-09Stratford42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/039/037/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20253rd8/158%0%-0.58
21/04/20252nd7/282%80%-0.02
18/02/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
09/03/20262nd7/491%86%-0.05
27/03/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
21/04/20265th5/287%33%-0.54
07/07/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
23/08/20266th17/255%29%-0.27
15/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18