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3

Ifyouhaveaplan

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Southwell · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 88y

#5

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame twice from 4 starts in points but well held in bumpers/2 maiden hurdles in recent months. Another likely type for handicaps on the back of this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m125y Gd 1585/0755 @ Uttoxeter 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15615/0754 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f139y Gd 15815/0844 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f207y Goo 15915/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter47th7th0
2026-08-15Market Rasen48th8th0
2026-07-15Uttoxeter56th7th−1
2026-07-05Market Rasen55th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0715/0715/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
15/07/20266th28/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20268th125/10%22%+0.22
15/09/20267th250/10%25%+0.25